I just read an article about the next phase of the pandemic, written based on what’s been happening in the UK. It talks about this being the moment of maximum risk now that some countries are nearing the end of the first wave.
According to the article, they were able to “flatten the curve” by staying indoors, but because they did, they don’t have herd immunity (and therefore most of them are still susceptible). So they’re gonna relax because they did a good job, open everything up, and then game over.
I agree with most of the analysis, but it leaves out the fact that way more people had it than we first thought. If people can’t get reinfected and the virus doesn’t mutate much (those are both big ifs) then it’s possible this isn’t as dangerous a moment as the article is suggesting.
Either way, there are way too many unknowns right now (when we’ll have adequate testing, if we can get reinfected, how long the virus lasts, when we’ll get vaccines/treatments, etc) to feel comfortable opening things back up.