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As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game (Bloomberg) from Techmeme RSS feed.
As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game (Bloomberg)
Bloomberg:
As weather betting grows on prediction markets, climate experts are debating whether it improves forecasts by aggregating knowledge or is simply a zero-sum game — From Kalshi and Polymarket to niche scientific platforms, traders are predicting the weather — and climate experts are debating the results.