Reading List
Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives (Lydia DePillis/New York Times) from Techmeme RSS feed.
Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives (Lydia DePillis/New York Times)
Lydia DePillis / New York Times:
Researchers find Kalshi and Polymarket bettors can more accurately predict economic data, earnings, and political events than analysts, likely due to incentives — Economists at top banks and investment firms who command high salaries to divine the direction of the economy expect …